Summary
DateOct 6Total matches6
Men's matches5Women's matches1
Singles matches5Tag Team matches1
Trio Matches0Other Matches0

This episode of AEW Dynamite took place on October 6, 2026 and featured 6 matches on the card.  All of the matches ended by pinfall, submission, or the rules stipulated by the match.  Multiple championships were defended on the card, including the AEW, AEW Women's, AEW TNT and World Championships.

The matches featured 14 wrestlers and 2 tag teams, highlighted by Bandido, Mercedes Mone, Darby Allin and Will Ospreay.


Predictability


100
100
◂66

Somewhat Predictable
(4 of 6 Matches)

Competitions


▾ 4
100
▴ 5

▾ 1
100
▴ 1

More Singles
Usual Tag

Diversity


▾ 5
100
▴ 5

▾ 1
100
▴ 1

Usual Mens
Usual Womens


Balance of Power

100
▴EVEN

Wins were balanced between Faces and Heels.
(3 Face wins to 3 Heel wins in 6 matches)

Matches

Top of the Card
Men's Singles
AEW Championship
Will Ospreay
Champion
17-2 (Overall: 25-4, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 64.9%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Kazuchika Okada
7-2 (Overall: 10-8, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 35.1%

Women's Singles
AEW Women's Championship
Mercedes Mone
Champion
7-0 (Overall: 8-2, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 50.0%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Queen Aminata
1-0 (Overall: 4-5, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 50.0%

Middle of the Card
Men's Singles
AEW TNT Championship
Darby Allin
Champion
20-2 (Overall: 26-6, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 56.9%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Kyle Fletcher
9-2 (Overall: 19-8, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 43.1%

Men's Tag Team
Mark Davis and Jake Doyle
3-1 (Last 5: 3-1)
Win Probability: 43.5%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Jon Moxley and Gabe Kidd
0-1 (Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 56.5%

Bottom of the Card
Men's Singles
Clockwork Carnage Qualifier
Samoa Joe
3-1 (Overall: 4-2, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 61.1%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Jungle Boy
6-10 (Overall: 12-12, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 38.9%
  • Over the past year, Jungle Boy has lost the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (13 losses).
  • This was the 1st time Samoa Joe and Jungle Boy have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
  • With this win, Samoa Joe has a win percentage at or above 75% (3-1) in 2026 singles matches.
  • Prior to this match it had been 135 days since Samoa Joe had competed in a AEW match.

Men's Singles
World Championship
Bandido
Champion
4-5 (Overall: 14-9, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 36.5%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Kofi Kingston
1-1 (Overall: 6-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 63.5%
  • This was the 5th World title defense by Bandido since defeating Chris Jericho for the championship at Dynasty on April 6, 2025 548 days ago.
  • This was the 1st time Kofi Kingston has challenged for the World championship.
  • Upset win! Bandido won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 36.5%!
  • This was the 2nd opening singles match of 2026 that Bandido has participated in.
  • This was the 1st time Bandido and Kofi Kingston have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.


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Last updated Wednesday October 7 11:22 AM UTC