AEW Dynamite Results and Analysis | October 7, 2025

100
▴+1 HEELS

Top of the Card

Men's Singles

Orange Cassidy
3-3 (Overall: 7-4, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 47.4%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

PAC
2-3 (Overall: 5-3, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 52.6%

Underdog win! Orange Cassidy won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 47.4%!
This was the 4th main event singles match of 2025 that Orange Cassidy has participated in.
This was the 5th time Orange Cassidy and PAC have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. The series is tied 2-2-1. The most recent match was 1091 days ago at AEW Dynamite on October 12, 2022 where Orange Cassidy won.
With this win, Orange Cassidy has a win percentage at or above 50% (3-3) in 2025 singles matches.
Prior to this match it had been 181 days since PAC had competed in a AEW match.

Men's Tag Team

Konosuke Takeshita and Kazuchika Okada
1-0 (Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 38.2%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Bandido and Brody King
6-2-1 (Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 61.8%

Upset win! Konosuke Takeshita and Kazuchika Okada won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 38.2%!
This was the 1st time Konosuke Takeshita and Kazuchika Okada have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Bandido and Brody King in AEW.

Women's Singles
AEW TBS Championship

Mercedes Mone
Champion
15-1 (Overall: 16-5, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 80.5%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Lacey Lane
0-1 (Overall: 0-1, Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 19.5%

This was the 22nd AEW TBS title defense by Mercedes Mone since defeating Willow Nightingale for the championship at Double or Nothing on May 26, 2024 499 days ago.
This was the 1st time Lacey Lane has challenged for the AEW TBS championship.
Over the past year, Mercedes Mone has won the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (19 wins).
This was the 1st time Mercedes Mone and Lacey Lane have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Mercedes Mone has now won 4 singles matches in a row.

Middle of the Card

Men's Singles
AEW TNT Championship

Kyle Fletcher
Champion
15-5 (Overall: 25-9, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 64.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Kyle O'Reilly
1-4 (Overall: 17-15, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 35.7%

This was the 5th AEW TNT title defense by Kyle Fletcher since defeating Dustin Rhodes for the championship at AEW Collision on July 31, 2025 68 days ago.
This was the 3rd time Kyle O'Reilly has challenged for the AEW TNT championship.
Over the past year, Kyle Fletcher has won the most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (22 wins).
This was the 2nd time Kyle Fletcher and Kyle O'Reilly have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Kyle Fletcher leads the series 2-0. The most recent match was 103 days ago at AEW Collision on June 26, 2025 where Kyle Fletcher won.
With this win, Kyle Fletcher has now won 3 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Kyle Fletcher has a win percentage at or above 75% (15-5) in 2025 singles matches.

Men's Tag Team

Luchasaurus and Jungle Boy
Jurassic Express
1-0 (Last 5: 1-0)

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Men's Three on Three Tag Team
Street Fight

Shelton Benjamin, Bobby Lashley and MVP
(Combined Overall: 28-7, Last 5: 7-6)
Win Probability: 35.7%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Ricochet, Kaun and Toa Liona
(Combined Overall: 34-28, Last 5: 7-8)
Win Probability: 64.3%

Milestone: This match was the 25th match for Shelton Benjamin in AEW.
Upset win! Shelton Benjamin, Bobby Lashley and MVP won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 35.7%!

Bottom of the Card

Men's Singles

Jon Moxley
15-2 (Overall: 24-11, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 82.2%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Tomohiro Ishii
0-4 (Overall: 5-8, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 17.8%

Over the past year, Jon Moxley has won the 4th most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (18 wins).
This was the 9th opening singles match of 2025 that Jon Moxley has participated in.
This was the 2nd time Jon Moxley and Tomohiro Ishii have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Jon Moxley leads the series 2-0. The most recent match was 832 days ago at AEW Dynamite on June 28, 2023 where Jon Moxley won.
With this win, Jon Moxley has now won 7 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 38 days since Tomohiro Ishii had competed in a AEW match.

AEW Dynamite