AEW Dynamite Results and Analysis | January 29, 2025

100
▴+1 HEELS

Top of the Card

Women's Singles
AEW TBS Championship

Mercedes Mone
Champion
1-0 (Overall: 1-0, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 62.7%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Yuka Sakazaki
1-1 (Overall: 1-1, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 37.3%

This was the 13th AEW TBS title defense by Mercedes Mone since defeating Willow Nightingale for the championship at Double or Nothing on May 26, 2024 248 days ago.
This was the 1st time Yuka Sakazaki has challenged for the AEW TBS championship.
Over the past year, Mercedes Mone has won the 4th most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (14 wins).
This was the 1st main event singles match of 2025 that Mercedes Mone has participated in.
This was the 1st time Mercedes Mone and Yuka Sakazaki have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Mercedes Mone has now won 14 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 32 days since Mercedes Mone had competed in a AEW match.

Men's Singles

Jay White
2-1 (Overall: 2-1, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 75.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Wheeler YUTA
0-2 (Overall: 1-4, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 25.0%

Milestone: This match was the 125th match for Wheeler YUTA in AEW.
This was the 1st time Jay White and Wheeler YUTA have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Jay White had competed in a AEW match.

Middle of the Card

Men's Singles

Ricochet
1-1 (Overall: 1-1, Last 5: 2-2-1)
Win Probability: 80.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

AR Fox
0-2 (Overall: 0-2, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 20.0%

This was the 2nd time Ricochet and AR Fox have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Ricochet leads the series 2-0. The most recent match was 102 days ago at AEW Collision on October 19, 2024 where Ricochet won.
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Ricochet had competed in a AEW match.

Men's Singles

Claudio Castagnoli
1-0 (Overall: 2-2, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 47.2%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Jeff Jarrett
1-2 (Overall: 1-2, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 52.8%

Underdog win! Claudio Castagnoli won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 47.2%!
This was the 1st time Claudio Castagnoli and Jeff Jarrett have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Jeff Jarrett had competed in a AEW match.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Singles

Will Ospreay
2-0 (Overall: 2-0, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 54.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Brian Cage
1-2 (Overall: 2-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 46.0%

Milestone: This match was the 50th match for Will Ospreay in AEW.
Over the past year, Will Ospreay has won the most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (25 wins).
This was the 2nd opening singles match of 2025 that Will Ospreay has participated in.
This was the 2nd time Will Ospreay and Brian Cage have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Will Ospreay leads the series 2-0. The most recent match was 221 days ago at AEW Collision on June 22, 2024 where Will Ospreay won.
With this win, Will Ospreay has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Will Ospreay had competed in a AEW match.

AEW Dynamite