AEW WrestleDream Results and Analysis | October 1, 2023

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Top of the Card

Men's Singles
AEW TNT Championship

Christian Cage
Champion
2-3 (Overall: 3-5, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 44.7%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Darby Allin
11-8 (Overall: 25-10, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 55.3%

This was the 1st AEW TNT title defense by Christian Cage since defeating Luchasaurus for the championship at AEW Collision on September 23, 2023 8 days ago.
This was the 8th time Darby Allin has challenged for the AEW TNT championship.
Underdog win! Christian Cage won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 44.7%!
Over the past year, Darby Allin has lost the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (10 losses).
This was the 2nd main event singles match of 2023 that Christian Cage has participated in.
This was the 2nd time Christian Cage and Darby Allin have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. The series is tied 1-1. The most recent match was 43 days ago at AEW Collision on August 19, 2023 where Darby Allin won.
With this win, Christian Cage has now won 2 singles matches in a row.

Men's Tag Team
AEW Tag Team Championship

Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler
FTR • The Pinnacle
Champions
9-1 (Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 53.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Kyle Fletcher and Mark Davis
Aussie Open
8-5 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 47.0%

This was the 1st time Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Kyle Fletcher and Mark Davis in AEW.
With this win, Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler have now won 7 tag matches in a row.
With this win, Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler have a win percentage at or above 90% (9-1) in 2023 tag matches.

Men's Three on Three Tag Team

Sammy Guevara, Konosuke Takeshita and Will Ospreay
(Combined Overall: 39-15, Last 5: 12-3)
Win Probability: 54.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Kenny Omega, Chris Jericho and Kota Ibushi
(Combined Overall: 22-20-1, Last 5: 5-7-1)
Win Probability: 46.0%

Men's Singles

Bryan Danielson
10-1 (Overall: 12-3, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 64.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Zack Sabre Jr.
1-2 (Overall: 2-2, Last 5: 2-2)
Win Probability: 36.0%

This was the 1st time Bryan Danielson and Zack Sabre Jr. have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Bryan Danielson has now won 4 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Bryan Danielson has a win percentage at or above 90% (10-1) in 2023 singles matches.

Men's Singles

Ricky Starks
12-6-1 (Overall: 16-9-1, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 66.7%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Wheeler YUTA
0-6 (Overall: 12-13, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 33.3%

Over the past year, Ricky Starks has won the 3rd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (18 wins).
This was the 1st time Ricky Starks and Wheeler YUTA have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.

Middle of the Card

Men's Singles

Swerve Strickland
8-4 (Overall: 12-10, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 42.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Adam Page
6-2 (Overall: 11-6, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 57.4%

Underdog win! Swerve Strickland won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 42.6%!
This was the 1st time Swerve Strickland and Adam Page have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Swerve Strickland has now won 3 singles matches in a row.

Men's Tag Team

Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson
The Young Bucks • The Elite • SuperKliq
5-2 (Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 25.9%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Austin Gunn and Colten Gunn
Gunn Club • Bullet Club Gold
7-3 (Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 25.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Penta El Zero M and Rey Fenix
Lucha Brothers • Death Triangle
5-2 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 23.2%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Orange Cassidy and Hook
0-1 (Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 25.9%

With this win, Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson have now won 2 tag matches in a row.

Women's Singles
AEW TBS Championship

Kris Statlander
Champion
13-0 (Overall: 16-1, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 39.4%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Julia Hart
12-1 (Overall: 12-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 60.6%

This was the 12th AEW TBS title defense by Kris Statlander since defeating Jade Cargill for the championship at Double or Nothing on May 28, 2023 126 days ago.
This was the 2nd time Julia Hart has challenged for the AEW TBS championship.
Upset win! Kris Statlander won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 39.4%!
This was the 3rd time Kris Statlander and Julia Hart have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Kris Statlander leads the series 3-0. The most recent match was 524 days ago at AEW Dark: Elevation on April 25, 2022 where Kris Statlander won.
With this win, Kris Statlander has now won 17 singles matches in a row.

Men's Singles
World Championship

Eddie Kingston
Champion
6-1 (Overall: 10-3, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 68.1%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Katsuyori Shibata
1-2 (Overall: 1-4, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 31.9%

This was the 1st World title defense by Eddie Kingston since defeating Claudio Castagnoli for the championship at AEW Dynamite on September 20, 2023 11 days ago.
This was the 1st time Katsuyori Shibata has challenged for the World championship.
This was the 1st time Eddie Kingston and Katsuyori Shibata have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Eddie Kingston has now won 4 singles matches in a row.

Men's Tag Team Handicap
World Tag Team Championship

Maxwell Jacob Friedman
The Pinnacle
Champions

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Vincent and Dutch

This was the 1st opening tag match of 2023 that Maxwell Jacob Friedman have participated in.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Three on Three Tag Team
AEW Trios Championship

Billy Gunn, Max Caster and Anthony Bowens

(Combined Overall: 78-11, Last 5: 14-1)
Win Probability: 81.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Mikey Nicholls, Shane Haste and Bad Dude Tito
(Combined Overall: 0-4, Last 5: 0-4)
Win Probability: 18.7%

Men's Singles

Luchasaurus
6-1 (Overall: 6-3, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 56.4%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Nick Wayne
0-3 (Overall: 4-4, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 43.6%

This was the 1st time Luchasaurus and Nick Wayne have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.

Men's Singles

Claudio Castagnoli
5-2 (Overall: 22-10, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 57.9%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Josh Barnett
0-1 (Overall: 0-1, Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 42.1%

This was the 1st time Claudio Castagnoli and Josh Barnett have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.

Four on Four Tag Team

Keith Lee, Satoshi Kojima, Athena and Billie Starkz
(Combined Overall: 23-13, Last 5: 9-8)
Win Probability: 56.9%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Mercedes Martinez, Diamante, Shane Taylor and Lee Moriarty
(Combined Overall: 9-14, Last 5: 6-13)
Win Probability: 43.1%

Date	Oct 1	Total matches	14
Men's matches	12	Women's matches	1
Singles matches	8	Tag Team matches	3
Trio Matches	2	Other Matches	1

AEW WrestleDream

Summary

Matches