AEW Dynamite Results and Analysis | October 6, 2021

Top of the Card

Men's Singles
Casino Ladder Match

Adam Page
12-1 (Overall: 17-2, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 12.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

PAC
9-3-1 (Overall: 16-6-1, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 10.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Andrade
2-1 (Overall: 2-1, Last 5: 2-1)
Win Probability: 15.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Jon Moxley
13-3 (Overall: 24-7, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 19.9%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Lance Archer
24-4 (Overall: 25-5, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 15.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Matt Hardy
8-5 (Overall: 17-9, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 7.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Orange Cassidy
18-2-1 (Overall: 29-4-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 17.7%

Hangman is the Joker!

This was the 1st main event singles match of 2021 that Adam Page has participated in.
With this win, Adam Page has now won 4 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 70 days since Adam Page, 26 days since PAC and 26 days since Andrade had competed in a AEW match.

Women's Singles

Serena Deeb
6-1 (Overall: 7-1, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 47.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Hikaru Shida
15-2 (Overall: 20-3, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 52.4%

Underdog win! Serena Deeb won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 47.6%!
This was the 1st time Serena Deeb and Hikaru Shida have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Serena Deeb has now won 4 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 79 days since Serena Deeb had competed in a AEW match.

Middle of the Card

Men's Singles

Darby Allin
19-2 (Overall: 27-3, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 62.2%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Nick Comoroto
6-6 (Overall: 14-10, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 37.8%

Over the past year, Darby Allin has won the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (23).
This was the 2nd time Darby Allin and Nick Comoroto have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Darby Allin leads the series 2-0. The most recent match was 358 days ago at AEW Dark on October 13, 2020 where Darby Allin won.
With this win, Darby Allin has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Darby Allin has a win percentage at or above 90% (19-2) in 2021 singles matches.

Men's Singles
AEW TNT Championship

Sammy Guevara
Champion
7-1 (Overall: 9-3, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 77.1%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Bobby Fish
0-1 (Overall: 0-1, Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 22.9%

This was the debut of Bobby Fish in AEW.
This was the 1st AEW TNT title defense by Sammy Guevara since defeating Miro for the championship at AEW Dynamite on September 29, 2021 7 days ago.
This was the 1st time Bobby Fish has challenged for the AEW TNT championship.
This was the 1st time Sammy Guevara and Bobby Fish have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Sammy Guevara has now won 5 singles matches in a row.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Four on Four Tag Team

Kenny Omega, Adam Cole, Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson
The Elite
(Combined Overall: 54-18-1, Last 5: 13-5-1)
Win Probability: 47.7%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Luchasaurus, Jungle Boy, Christian Cage and Bryan Danielson
(Combined Overall: 59-28-1, Last 5: 7-10-1)
Win Probability: 52.3%

Milestone: This match was the 75th match for Luchasaurus in AEW.
Underdog win! Kenny Omega, Adam Cole, Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 47.7%!

AEW Dynamite